Latest Tropical Advisories from
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BERYL Advisory
Expires:No;;467428
WTNT32 KWNH 110253
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl Advisory Number 50
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL022024
1100 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024
...POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
NEW YORK AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLABND TAPERS OFF LATE...
...A COUPLE OF TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO THE LATE EVENING...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...43.1N 80.3W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM W OF BUFFALO NEW YORK
ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM WSW OF MONTREAL QUEBEC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flood Watches and Warnings are in effect for portions of...
* Central and Northern New York
* Northern New England
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Beryl
was located near latitude 43.1 North, longitude 80.3 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 20
mph (31 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue as the system
weakens.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 12 hours.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Heavy rainfall will result in areas of flash flooding, some of which
may be locally considerable, in portions of northeastern New York
and northern New England before tapering off late tonight. Isolated
minor to moderate river flooding is possible.
Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.
TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible this evening from the
Upper Mid-Atlantic States into western New England,
RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with locally higher
amounts, is expected across portions of the eastern Great Lakes
through northern New England through tonight.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Post Tropical Cyclone Beryl, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero
For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated
this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the
WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link:
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the Weather Prediction
Center on this system.
$$
Forecaster Bann
Expires:No;;349770
WTNT22 KNHC 090234
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024
0300 UTC TUE JUL 09 2024
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 94.3W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 94.3W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 94.8W
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 34.9N 92.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 38.1N 89.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 40.9N 85.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 43.0N 82.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 44.8N 79.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 46.5N 75.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.8N 94.3W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON BERYL. THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION
ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE
WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER BEGINNING AT 0900 UTC, UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCMAT2, WMO HEADER WTNT22 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV.
RAINFALL FORECASTS FOR THE UNITED STATES CAN ALWAYS BE FOUND AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML
AND OUTLOOKS OF FLASH FLOOD RISKS CAN BE FOUND AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESSIVE_RAINFALL_OUTLOOK_ERO.PHP
.
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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