Texas General  Land Office  Oil Spill Prevention  & Response Texas Automated Buoy System Real Time Ocean Observations Supporting Oil Spill Prevention and Response since 1995

035 
WTNT24 KNHC 252031
TCMAT4
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TONY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192012
2100 UTC THU OCT 25 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  34.0W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  75 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  70SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  34.0W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.0N  35.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 31.8N  31.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 32.5N  28.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 33.2N  25.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N  34.0W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON TONY.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
TONY...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE METEO FRANCE
MET OFFICE...UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 


270 
WTNT44 KNHC 252034
TCDAT4
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TONY DISCUSSION NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192012
500 PM AST THU OCT 25 2012
 
SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF TONY
REMAINS COMPLETELY EXPOSED DUE TO OVER 40 KT OF SOUTHWESTERLY
SHEAR.  THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS ALSO GRADUALLY BEEN LOSING
DEFINITION AS THE ASSOCIATED CLOUD SHIELD SEPARATES FARTHER FROM
THE CENTER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 35 KT IN AGREEMENT WITH
LATEST DVORAK CI NUMBERS. GIVEN THE DECAYING STRUCTURE OF THE
CYCLONE...TONY IS BEING DECLARED A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THIS
ADVISORY. POST-TROPICAL TONY SHOULD BE ABSORBED BY A LARGE
BAROCLINIC LOW OVER THE NORTHEASTERN ATLANTIC IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
THE HEADING OF TONY HAS SHIFTED A BIT TO THE RIGHT...AND THE INITIAL
MOTION ESTIMATE IS 075/19. TONY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO IN A DEEP-LAYER WESTERLY FLOW
OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND GRADUALLY DECELERATE BEFORE
LOSING ITS IDENTITY. THE NEW NHC TRACK IS CLOSE TO BUT AGAIN SOUTH
OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS TVCA.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  25/2100Z 31.2N  34.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  26/0600Z 31.8N  31.4W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  26/1800Z 32.5N  28.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  27/0600Z 33.2N  25.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  27/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 


115 
WTNT34 KNHC 252032
TCPAT4
 
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TONY ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192012
500 PM AST THU OCT 25 2012
 
...TONY BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.2N 34.0W
ABOUT 615 MI...990 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TONY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.0 WEST.  TONY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TONY SHOULD BE ABSORBED BY A LARGER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHEASTERN ATLANTIC ON SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON TONY.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE TONY...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECAST BEING ISSUED BY THE
METEO FRANCE MET OFFICE...UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 

971 
WTNT23 KNHC 300249
TCMAT3
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
0300 UTC TUE OCT 30 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HOWEVER...THERE ARE NON-TROPICAL HIGH-WIND WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND STATES. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST
BETWEEN CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA AND CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS DURING THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.  THIS INCLUDES THE TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND
TO SMITH POINT...THE MIDDLE AND UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY...DELAWARE
BAY...AND THE COASTS OF THE NORTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA...NEW
JERSEY...THE NEW YORK CITY AREA...LONG ISLAND...CONNECTICUT...AND
RHODE ISLAND.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NORTH OF CHATHAM
THROUGH MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND...AND OVER THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...
AND SOUTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.8N  75.4W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE  80SW  50NW.
34 KT.......420NE 360SE 200SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 995SE 600SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.8N  75.4W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  74.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 40.5N  77.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 100SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 41.3N  78.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 360SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 42.6N  77.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 44.0N  76.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 46.5N  74.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 48.5N  70.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z...ABSORBED BY COLD FRONT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.8N  75.4W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON SANDY.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01
KWBC.  PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON SANDY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3
AND WMO HEADER WTNT33 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 500 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 


616 
WTNT43 KNHC 300250
TCDAT3
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY DISCUSSION NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
1100 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012
 
SATELLITE...RADAR...SURFACE...AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA
INDICATE THAT SANDY MADE LANDFALL NEAR ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
AROUND 0000 UTC.  THE INTENSITY OF THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE WAS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 80 KT AT LANDFALL WITH A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF
946 MB.  AT LANDFALL...THE STRONGEST WINDS WERE OCCURRING OVER
WATER TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  HURRICANE-FORCE
WINDS GUSTS HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS LONG ISLAND AND THE NEW YORK
METROPOLITAN AREA THIS EVENING.  IN ADDITION...A SIGNIFICANT STORM
SURGE HAS OCCURRED ALONG A LONG STRETCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST.
 
ALTHOUGH THE CYCLONE SHOULD STEADILY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FURTHER
INLAND....CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE AS STRONG WINDS AND
ELEVATED WATER LEVELS WILL PERSIST ALONG THE COAST FOR ANOTHER DAY
OR SO.  HEAVY RAINS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER A LARGE
AREA OF THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...POSING A VERY
SIGNIFICANT INLAND FLOOD RISK.  SANDY TOOK A NORTHWARD JOG BEFORE
LANDFALL THIS EVENING AND HAS ALSO SLOWED DOWN.  THE POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN FURTHER AND TURN NORTHWARD...THEN
NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THE NHC TRACK IS
SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS A BLEND OF THE ECMWF AND
GFS MODELS.
 
NOW THAT SANDY IS A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...THE NEXT PUBLIC
ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION
CENTER...HPC...AT 500 AM EDT TUESDAY.  THE PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE
ISSUED UNDER THE SAME WMO AND AWIPS HEADERS AS THE NHC PUBLIC
ADVISORIES...AND WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE VIA THE NHC WEBSITE.
HIGH WIND WARNINGS ISSUED BY THE LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR A LARGE PORTION OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.
 
THANKS GO OUT TO THE CREWS OF THE AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA
HURRICANE HUNTERS FOR PROVIDING CRITICAL MEASUREMENTS IN AND AROUND
SANDY DURING THE LAST SEVEN DAYS.  THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
WOULD ALSO LIKE TO THANK THE LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES ACROSS
THE COUNTRY THAT HAVE CONDUCTED SPECIAL RADIOSONDE RELEASES AS SANDY
APPROACHED THE COAST.
 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  30/0300Z 39.8N  75.4W   65 KT  75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 12H  30/1200Z 40.5N  77.2W   55 KT  65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  31/0000Z 41.3N  78.3W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  31/1200Z 42.6N  77.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  01/0000Z 44.0N  76.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  02/0000Z 46.5N  74.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 96H  03/0000Z 48.5N  70.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H  04/0000Z...ABSORBED
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 


077 
WTNT33 KNHC 300251
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
1100 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012
 
...SANDY STILL PACKING HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS...
...NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.8N 75.4W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM SW OF PHILADELPHIA PENSYLVANIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HOWEVER...THERE ARE NON-TROPICAL HIGH-WIND WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND STATES. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST
BETWEEN CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA AND CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS DURING THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.  THIS INCLUDES THE TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND
TO SMITH POINT...THE MIDDLE AND UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY...DELAWARE
BAY...AND THE COASTS OF THE NORTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA...NEW
JERSEY...THE NEW YORK CITY AREA...LONG ISLAND...CONNECTICUT...AND
RHODE ISLAND.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NORTH OF CHATHAM
THROUGH MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND...AND OVER THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...
AND SOUTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. 
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.4 WEST.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 18
MPH...30 KM/H.  A WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST MOTION WITH SOME
REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TUESDAY NIGHT.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF SANDY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS
PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THEN MOVE INTO WESTERN NEW
YORK TUESDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER WATER TO THE EAST OF
THE CENTER.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 485 MILES...780 KM FROM THE CENTER. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 56
MPH...WITH A GUST TO 71 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT LAGUARDIA
AIRPORT IN NEW YORK.  A TEXAS TECH UNIVERSITY AUTOMATED OBSERVING
SITE HAS REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH...WITH A GUST TO 67
MPH...ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY WITHIN THE PAST HOUR.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE DATA IS 952
MB...28.11 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND.
HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST OF NEW
JERSEY...NEW YORK...SOUTHERN MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF
HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR
GROUND LEVEL.
 
STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE
AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE
FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING
DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE...
 
NC NORTH OF SURF CITY INCLUDING PAMLICO/ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...2 TO 4 FT
SE VA AND DELMARVA INCLUDING LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
UPPER AND MIDDLE CHESAPEAKE BAY...1 TO 3 FT
LONG ISLAND SOUND...RARITAN BAY...AND NEW YORK HARBOR...6 TO 11 FT
ELSEWHERE FROM OCEAN CITY MD TO THE CT/RI BORDER...4 TO 8 FT
CT/RI BORDER TO THE SOUTH SHORE OF CAPE COD INCLUDING BUZZARDS
BAY AND NARRAGANSETT BAY...3 TO 6 FT
CAPE COD TO THE MA/NH BORDER INCLUDING CAPE COD BAY...2 TO 4 FT
MA/NH BORDER TO THE U.S./CANADA BORDER...1 TO 3 FT
 
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.
GIVEN THE LARGE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH SANDY...ELEVATED WATER
LEVELS COULD SPAN MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES RESULTING IN REPEATED AND
EXTENDED PERIODS OF COASTAL AND BAYSIDE FLOODING.  IN ADDITION...
ELEVATED WATERS COULD OCCUR FAR REMOVED FROM THE CENTER OF SANDY.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
 
RAINFALL...RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER FAR
NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 8
INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...INCLUDING THE DELMARVA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK STATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND.
 
SNOWFALL..SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE EXPECTED IN THE
MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. SNOWFALL OF 1 TO 2 FEET IS EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA TO THE KENTUCKY BORDER...WITH 12 TO 18 INCHES
OF SNOW EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA/TENNESSEE
BORDER AND IN THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MARYLAND.
 
SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FROM FLORIDA THROUGH
NEW ENGLAND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON SANDY.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION 
CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT33 
KWNH...BEGINNING AT 500 AM EDT.  THESE PUBLIC ADVISORIES WILL ALSO
BE AVAILABLE ON THE NHC WEBSITE.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/ROBERTS
 

Last updated Thu May 23 05:16:02 2013