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Latest Atlantic Hurricane Tracks


Tropical Storm ERIKA Tracking Data
Date: 25-29 AUG 2015
Tropical Storm ERIKA
ADV  LAT    LON      TIME     WIND  PR  STAT
  1  14.40  -47.70 08/25/00Z   40  1003 TROPICAL STORM
  2  14.60  -49.40 08/25/06Z   40  1003 TROPICAL STORM
  3  15.20  -51.00 08/25/15Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 3A  15.80  -53.40 08/25/18Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
  4  15.60  -52.80 08/25/21Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 4A  16.10  -55.10 08/26/00Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
  5  16.00  -54.40 08/26/03Z   35  1006 TROPICAL STORM
 5A  16.40  -56.90 08/26/06Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
  6  16.10  -56.00 08/26/09Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 6A  16.50  -58.40 08/26/12Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
  7  16.10  -57.60 08/26/15Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 7A  16.70  -59.90 08/26/18Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
  8  16.60  -58.90 08/26/21Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 8A  17.10  -61.20 08/27/00Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
  9  16.70  -60.20 08/27/03Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 9A  17.40  -62.30 08/27/06Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 10  16.80  -61.50 08/27/09Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
10A  17.60  -63.50 08/27/12Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 11  16.40  -63.30 08/27/15Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
11A  17.50  -65.10 08/27/18Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 12  16.60  -64.00 08/27/21Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
12A  17.90  -66.40 08/28/00Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 13  16.60  -65.30 08/28/03Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
13A  17.90  -66.40 08/28/06Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 14  17.70  -67.70 08/28/09Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
14A  18.80  -69.80 08/28/12Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 15  17.70  -69.40 08/28/15Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
15A  19.30  -71.40 08/28/18Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 16  17.90  -71.20 08/28/21Z   45  1009 TROPICAL STORM
16A  19.50  -73.50 08/29/00Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 17  18.50  -72.90 08/29/03Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
17A  20.00  -75.00 08/29/06Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 18  19.10  -75.10 08/29/09Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
18A  20.30  -77.50 08/29/12Z    -     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
+12  20.30  -77.50 08/29/18Z   30     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
+24  22.30  -80.30 08/30/06Z   30     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
+36  24.00  -82.10 08/30/18Z   30     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
+48  25.30  -83.20 08/31/06Z   35     - TROPICAL STORM
+72  27.00  -84.00 09/01/06Z   35     - TROPICAL STORM
+96  29.50  -84.50 09/02/06Z   40     - TROPICAL STORM
+120  31.00  -84.50 09/03/06Z   25     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION


Type   Pressure (mb) Winds (mph) Winds (knots) Surge (Feet)
Tropical Depression   ----- < 39 < 34 -----
Tropical Storm   ----- 39 - 73 34 - 63 -----
Hurricane 1   > 980 74 - 95 64 - 82 4 - 5
Hurricane 2   965 - 980 96 - 110 83 - 95 6 - 8
Hurricane 3   945 - 965 111 - 130 96 - 112 9 - 12
Hurricane 4   920 - 945 131 - 155 113 - 134 13 - 18
Hurricane 5   < 920 > 155 > 135 > 18

Latest Tropical Advisories from
The National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm ERIKA Advisory



624 
WTNT25 KNHC 291330
TCMAT5

REMNANTS OF ERIKA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
1330 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ALL COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS...EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  75.9W AT 29/1330Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  75.9W AT 29/1330Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  74.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N  75.9W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




755 
WTNT45 KNHC 291331
TCDAT5

REMNANTS OF ERIKA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
930 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

Surface observations from Cuba, satellite imagery, and reports from
an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Erika
has degenerated into a trough of low pressure, with the remnants of
the center located near the north coast of eastern Cuba.  Winds of
near 30 kt are occurring to the north and east of the center, and
these conditions will likely continue through at least this
afternoon.

The remnants are expected to move west-northwestward near the
northern coast of central and eastern Cuba for the next 12 to 24
hours and reach the southeastern Gulf of Mexico in about 36 hours.
After that time, a more northward motion is expected over the
eastern Gulf of Mexico.

The dynamical models suggests that the current strong wind shear
could relax by the time the system reachs the Gulf of Mexico, and
there is a possibility that Erika could regenerate.  Regardless of
regeneration, locally heavy rains and gusty winds should spread
across portions of Cuba, the Bahamas, and southern Florida during
the next couple of days.

This will be the last advisory on this system by the National
Hurricane Center unless regeneration occurs.  Additional information
can be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook issued by the National
Hurricane Center, as well as marine forecasts and local forecast
office products issued by the National Weather Service.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  29/1330Z 21.5N  75.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...REMNANTS
 12H  29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven



623 
WTNT35 KNHC 291330
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF ERIKA SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052015
930 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...ERIKA DEGENERATES TO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...


SUMMARY OF 930 AM EDT...1330 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.5N 75.9W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM E OF CAMAGUEY CUBA
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SSE OF NASSAU
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

All coastal watches and warnings are discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Bahamas, eastern and central Cuba, and southern
Florida should monitor the progress of the remnants of Erika.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 930 AM EDT (1330 UTC), the remnants of Erika were estimated near
latitude 21.5 North, longitude 75.9 West. The remnants are moving
toward the west-northwest near 22 mph (35 km/h).  This general
motion should continue for the next 24 hours or so, with the
remnants expected to move near the coast of eastern and central
Cuba today and tonight and into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico on
Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The remnants of Erika are expected to produce total
rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10
inches possible across portions of the Dominican Republic, Haiti and
eastern and central Cuba through Sunday.  These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. In addition, rainfall
amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected across the Turks and Caicos
Islands as well as the southeastern and central Bahamas through
Sunday.  Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches, with locally heavier
amounts, are possible across southern and central Florida beginning
on Sunday.

WIND: Gusts to tropical storm force are expected in squalls over
portions of the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern
Bahamas for the next several hours.  These conditions are expected
to spread into the central Bahamas this afternoon and tonight.
Gusts to tropical storm force in squalls are also possible over
eastern Cuba today.  Gusty winds could occur over southern Florida
beginning on Sunday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Additional information on this system will
be available in Tropical Weather Outlooks issued by the National
Hurricane Center, as well as marine forecasts and local forecast
office products issued by the National Weather Service.

$$
Forecaster Beven


Last updated Sat Aug 29 18:16:04 2015