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Latest Atlantic Hurricane Tracks


Hurricane-1 ALEX Tracking Data
Date: 13-15 JAN 2016
Hurricane-1 ALEX
ADV  LAT    LON      TIME     WIND  PR  STAT
  1  27.10  -30.80 01/13/18Z   45   990 TROPICAL STORM
  2  28.70  -30.00 01/14/00Z   50   988 TROPICAL STORM
  3  30.10  -29.30 01/14/06Z   60   984 TROPICAL STORM
  4  31.50  -28.40 01/14/12Z   75   981 HURRICANE-1
  5  33.60  -27.80 01/14/18Z   75   981 HURRICANE-1
  6  34.70  -27.60 01/15/00Z   70   984 HURRICANE-1
  7  36.80  -27.00 01/15/06Z   65   986 HURRICANE-1
  8  39.30  -27.00 01/15/12Z   60   986 TROPICAL STORM
  9  43.00  -27.80 01/15/18Z   60   986 TROPICAL STORM


Type   Pressure (mb) Winds (mph) Winds (knots) Surge (Feet)
Tropical Depression   ----- < 39 < 34 -----
Tropical Storm   ----- 39 - 73 34 - 63 -----
Hurricane 1   > 980 74 - 95 64 - 82 4 - 5
Hurricane 2   965 - 980 96 - 110 83 - 95 6 - 8
Hurricane 3   945 - 965 111 - 130 96 - 112 9 - 12
Hurricane 4   920 - 945 131 - 155 113 - 134 13 - 18
Hurricane 5   < 920 > 155 > 135 > 18

Latest Tropical Advisories from
The National Hurricane Center

Hurricane-1 ALEX Advisory



286 
WTNT21 KNHC 152031
TCMAT1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012016
2100 UTC FRI JAN 15 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.0N  27.8W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  35 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......300NE 120SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......420NE 420SE 240SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 540SE 300SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.0N  27.8W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.5N  27.7W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 49.2N  29.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...300NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 240SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 56.3N  36.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...240NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...420NE 360SE 240SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 56.5N  47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...240NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
34 KT...420NE 180SE  60SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 43.0N  27.8W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01
KWBC...AND BY METEO FRANCE...UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




671 
WTNT41 KNHC 152032
TCDAT1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALEX DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012016
500 PM AST FRI JAN 15 2016

Geostationary and low-level microwave satellite images show the
cloud pattern becoming elongated and taking on a comma, i.e.
frontal, shape.  Short-term model forecasts show significant
thermal advection in the circulation, and this is also suggested by
surface data.  An earlier scatterometer pass showed that the system
was losing its inner-core wind maximum, with the strongest winds
well-removed to the northeast of the center.  Therefore Alex has
made the transition to an extratropical cyclone, and this will be
the last advisory.

Maximum winds are estimated to be just below hurricane strength,
and the post-tropical cyclone could re-intensify slightly in the
short term due to baroclinic energy sources. Within 48 hours, the
global models generally agree on the system merging with another
extratropical low over the north Atlantic.

The cyclone has accelerated greatly during the day and is now moving
slightly west of due north, or 350/35.  The dynamical guidance
shows the system rotating counterclockwise around a large gyre over
the north Atlantic during the next day or so.  This is also shown
in the official forecast, which is based mainly on input from the
NOAA Ocean Prediction Center.

Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header
NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at
http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml, and in high seas
forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and
available on the web at
http://www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  15/2100Z 43.0N  27.8W   60 KT  70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 12H  16/0600Z 49.2N  29.4W   65 KT  75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  16/1800Z 56.3N  36.1W   65 KT  75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  17/0600Z 56.5N  47.0W   60 KT  70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  17/1800Z...ABSORBED BY ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

$$
Forecaster Pasch



073 
WTNT31 KNHC 152032
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012016
500 PM AST FRI JAN 15 2016

...ALEX BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...43.0N 27.8W
ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM N OF TERCEIRA IN THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
Satellite images and surface observations indicate that Alex has
lost its tropical characteristics.

At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Alex
was located near latitude 43.0 North, longitude 27.8 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 40 mph (65
km/h), and a turn toward the northwest and west with an additional
increase in forward speed is expected over the next 36 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in strength is forecast during the next 36
hours, and the post-tropical cyclone is forecast to merge with
another extratropical cyclone by Sunday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 485 miles (780 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml,
and in high seas forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header
FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at
http://www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


Last updated Fri Feb 12 06:16:03 2016