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Latest Atlantic Hurricane Tracks

| Adv. | Date of | Hour | Lat. | Lon. | Winds | Pressure | Tracking Data
+-------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Adv. |   Date of    |  Hour   |  Lat. |  Lon.  | Winds | Pressure |
| Num. |   Advisory   |  (LT)   |  (N)  |  (W)   | (mph) |   (mb)   |
+-------------------------------------------------------------------+
| 4A   | Oct 07 2018  |  100 PM |  19.2 |   86.9 |    40 |     1004 |
| 5    | Oct 07 2018  |  400 PM |  19.2 |   85.5 |    50 |      999 |
| 5A   | Oct 07 2018  |  700 PM |  19.9 |   85.4 |    60 |      997 |
| 6    | Oct 07 2018  | 1000 PM |  20.0 |   85.4 |    60 |      997 |
| 6A   | Oct 08 2018  |  100 AM |  20.1 |   85.5 |    60 |      994 |
| 7    | Oct 08 2018  |  400 AM |  20.6 |   85.5 |    70 |      983 |
| 7A   | Oct 08 2018  |  700 AM |  20.9 |   85.1 |    70 |      982 |
| 8    | Oct 08 2018  | 1100 AM |  21.2 |   84.9 |    75 |      982 |
| Numb | Oct 08 2018  |  200 PM |  21.7 |   85.1 |    75 |      978 |
| 9    | Oct 08 2018  |  400 PM |  22.2 |   85.2 |    80 |      978 |
| 10   | Oct 08 2018  | 1000 PM |  23.2 |   85.3 |    90 |      970 |
| 11   | Oct 09 2018  |  400 AM |  24.1 |   85.9 |    90 |      973 |
| 12   | Oct 09 2018  | 1000 AM |  25.0 |   86.2 |   110 |      965 |
| 13   | Oct 09 2018  |  400 PM |  26.0 |   86.4 |   120 |      957 |
| 14   | Oct 09 2018  | 1000 PM |  27.1 |   86.5 |   125 |      947 |
| 15   | Oct 10 2018  |  400 AM |  28.3 |   86.5 |   140 |      943 |
| 16   | Oct 10 2018  | 1000 AM |  29.4 |   86.0 |   145 |      928 |
| 17   | Oct 10 2018  |  400 PM |  30.9 |   85.1 |   125 |      932 |
| 18   | Oct 10 2018  | 1100 PM |  32.1 |   83.8 |    75 |      970 |
| 18A  | Oct 11 2018  |  200 AM |  32.7 |   83.2 |    60 |      979 |
| 19   | Oct 11 2018  |  500 AM |  33.5 |   82.5 |    50 |      983 |
| 19A  | Oct 11 2018  |  800 AM |  34.1 |   81.8 |    50 |      986 |
| 20   | Oct 11 2018  | 1100 AM |  34.7 |   80.8 |    50 |      990 |
| 20A  | Oct 11 2018  |  200 PM |  35.7 |   80.0 |    50 |      991 |
| 21   | Oct 11 2018  |  500 PM |  36.1 |   78.8 |    50 |      990 |
| 21A  | Oct 11 2018  |  800 PM |  36.5 |   77.8 |    50 |      989 |
| 22   | Oct 11 2018  | 1100 PM |  37.1 |   76.1 |    50 |      988 |
| 22A  | Oct 12 2018  |  200 AM |  37.3 |   75.1 |    60 |      985 |
| 23   | Oct 12 2018  |  500 AM |  38.0 |   73.1 |    65 |      983 |
+-------------------------------------------------------------------+


Type   Pressure (mb) Winds (mph) Winds (knots) Surge (Feet)
Tropical Depression   ----- < 39 < 34 -----
Tropical Storm   ----- 39 - 73 34 - 63 -----
Hurricane 1   > 980 74 - 95 64 - 82 4 - 5
Hurricane 2   965 - 980 96 - 110 83 - 95 6 - 8
Hurricane 3   945 - 965 111 - 130 96 - 112 9 - 12
Hurricane 4   920 - 945 131 - 155 113 - 134 13 - 18
Hurricane 5   < 920 > 155 > 135 > 18

Latest Tropical Advisories from
The National Hurricane Center

| Adv. | Date of | Hour | Lat. | Lon. | Winds | Pressure | Advisory


Expires:No;;055343
WTNT34 KNHC 120847
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Michael Advisory Number  23
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142018
500 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...MICHAEL BECOMES A STORM-FORCE POST-TROPICAL LOW AS IT MOVES
AWAY FROM THE UNITED STATES...
...ALL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AND WATCHES DISCONTINUED...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.0N 73.1W
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM ENE OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM SW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

All coastal tropical cyclone warnings and watches are discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Michael was located near latitude 38.0 North, longitude 73.1 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near
29 mph (46 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue with an
increase in forward speed during the next couple of days.  On the
forecast track, the center of Michael will move away from the
United States today and move rapidly across the open Atlantic Ocean
tonight through Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased near 65 mph (100 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Some additional strengthening is expected today and
tonight as the post-tropical cyclone moves across the Atlantic.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km)
from the center.  NOAA buoy 44014 recently reported sustained winds
of 58 mph (94 km/h) and a wind gust of 72 mph (115 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE:  Storm surge flooding along the North Carolina coast,
including the Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds, should diminish today.

WIND: Gale winds may continue for a few more hours over portions of
southeastern Virginia, the southern Chesapeake Bay, and the Delmarva
Peninsula.

RAINFALL:  Michael is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rain from
New Jersey to Long Island to Cape Cod, and 3 to 5 inches over
Nantucket and Martha's Vineyard through this afternoon. This
rainfall could lead to flash flooding.  Elsewhere, flooding and
flash flooding may continue where Michael produced heavy rain very
recently in the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic states.

Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected across the coastal
northern Mid-Atlantic and southern New England.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available
on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.
Additional information on the remaining impacts over the United
States can be found in products issued by local National Weather
Service forecast offices.

$$
Forecaster Beven



Expires:No;;055344
WTNT24 KNHC 120847
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142018
0900 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ALL COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AND WATCHES ARE DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N  73.1W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 240SE  80SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 270SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N  73.1W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.3N  75.0W

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 40.4N  66.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT... 90NE 360SE 240SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 43.8N  55.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 150SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 420SE 300SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 46.2N  42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 240SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 420SE 360SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 47.0N  28.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 120SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 360SE 360SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 46.0N  11.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.0N  73.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




Last updated Sat Oct 20 12:16:01 2018