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Latest Atlantic Hurricane Tracks


Hurricane-2 ARTHUR Tracking Data
Date: 01-05 JUL 2014
Hurricane-2 ARTHUR
ADV  LAT    LON      TIME     WIND  PR  STAT
  1  27.60  -79.10 07/01/03Z   30  1009 TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 1A  27.50  -79.20 07/01/06Z   30  1009 TROPICAL DEPRESSION
 2A  27.50  -79.20 07/01/12Z   30  1007 TROPICAL DEPRESSION
  3  27.60  -79.30 07/01/15Z   35  1007 TROPICAL STORM
 3A  27.90  -79.40 07/01/18Z   35  1007 TROPICAL STORM
  4  27.80  -79.40 07/01/21Z   45  1003 TROPICAL STORM
 4A  27.80  -79.30 07/02/00Z   45  1003 TROPICAL STORM
  5  27.90  -79.20 07/02/03Z   45  1003 TROPICAL STORM
 5A  28.00  -79.10 07/02/06Z   50  1001 TROPICAL STORM
  6  28.40  -79.10 07/02/09Z   50   996 TROPICAL STORM
  7  29.10  -79.10 07/02/15Z   50   997 TROPICAL STORM
 7A  29.40  -79.10 07/02/18Z   50   997 TROPICAL STORM
  8  29.70  -79.10 07/02/21Z   60   992 TROPICAL STORM
 8A  30.20  -79.20 07/03/00Z   60   990 TROPICAL STORM
 9A  30.90  -79.10 07/03/06Z   60   988 TROPICAL STORM
 10  31.30  -79.10 07/03/09Z   65   985 HURRICANE-1
10A  31.80  -78.70 07/03/12Z   70   983 HURRICANE-1
 11  32.40  -78.50 07/03/15Z   80   981 HURRICANE-1
11A  32.90  -78.30 07/03/18Z   80   980 HURRICANE-1
 12  33.40  -77.90 07/03/21Z   80   977 HURRICANE-1
12A  33.80  -77.40 07/03/23Z   80   977 HURRICANE-1
12B  34.20  -77.10 07/04/01Z   85   976 HURRICANE-2
 13  34.60  -76.60 07/04/03Z   85   976 HURRICANE-2
13A  35.10  -76.20 07/04/05Z   85   976 HURRICANE-2
13B  35.60  -75.90 07/04/07Z   85   973 HURRICANE-2
 14  36.00  -75.30 07/04/09Z   85   973 HURRICANE-2
14A  36.50  -74.70 07/04/11Z   85   973 HURRICANE-2
14B  37.10  -74.00 07/04/13Z   80   976 HURRICANE-1
 15  37.70  -73.40 07/04/15Z   80   976 HURRICANE-1
15A  38.50  -72.40 07/04/18Z   80   977 HURRICANE-1
 16  39.40  -71.10 07/04/21Z   35   979 TROPICAL STORM
16A  40.30  -69.60 07/05/00Z   35   976 TROPICAL STORM
 17  41.20  -68.70 07/05/03Z   35   976 TROPICAL STORM
17A  42.30  -67.60 07/05/06Z   35   981 TROPICAL STORM
 18  43.10  -66.90 07/05/09Z   35   981 TROPICAL STORM


Type   Pressure (mb) Winds (mph) Winds (knots) Surge (Feet)
Tropical Depression   ----- < 39 < 34 -----
Tropical Storm   ----- 39 - 73 34 - 63 -----
Hurricane 1   > 980 74 - 95 64 - 82 4 - 5
Hurricane 2   965 - 980 96 - 110 83 - 95 6 - 8
Hurricane 3   945 - 965 111 - 130 96 - 112 9 - 12
Hurricane 4   920 - 945 131 - 155 113 - 134 13 - 18
Hurricane 5   < 920 > 155 > 135 > 18

Latest Tropical Advisories from
The National Hurricane Center

Hurricane-2 ARTHUR Advisory



966 
WTNT21 KNHC 051455
TCMAT1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
1500 UTC SAT JUL 05 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE

IN ADDITION...HIGH WIND WARNINGS...FOR WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...
ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE.

FOR FUTURE INFORMATION ON WARNINGS IN CANADA PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE AT...
WEATHER.GC.CA/HURRICANE/INDEX_E.HTML ...IN ALL LOWER CASE.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.0N  65.5W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  60SE  90SW   0NW.
34 KT.......140NE 180SE 140SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 480SE 360SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.0N  65.5W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.5N  66.3W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 47.0N  63.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 210SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 49.0N  60.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 240SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 52.0N  56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 300SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 56.0N  53.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 300SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 60.5N  54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 60.5N  52.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 45.0N  65.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON ARTHUR. FOR FUTURE INFORMATION ON WARNINGS IN CANADA
PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE AT...
WEATHER.GC.CA/HURRICANE/INDEX_E.HTML ...IN ALL LOWER CASE.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO
HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. STATEMENTS ON THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ARE ALSO
BEING ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE UNDER WMO HEADER
WOCN31 CWHX AND IN FRENCH AT WOCN41 CWHX.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH




837 
WTNT41 KNHC 051500
TCDAT1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ARTHUR DISCUSSION NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
1100 AM EDT SAT JUL 05 2014

Surface, satellite, and earlier NOAA reconnaissance aircraft data
indicate that Arthur became an extratropical cyclone by 1200 UTC
this morning. The earlier aircraft reports and recent wind
observations show that the cyclone continues to weaken, and the
initial intensity is lowered to 50 kt. The post-tropical cyclone
should continue to weaken during the next day or so and winds are
expected to be below gale force in 48 to 72 hours.  The cyclone is
now forecast to dissipate by the end of the forecast period.

The cyclone is moving north-northeastward at about 21 kt.  A
north-northeastward to northeastward motion at a slower forward
speed is expected during the next day or so.  A turn toward the
north and a further reduction in forward speed is forecast in a few
days.  The lastest track forecast is similar to the previous
forecast through 48 hours, but has been adjusted westward
thereafter to be in better agreement with the latest track guidance.

This will be the last NHC advisory on Arthur.  For additional
information, including warnings, consult products issued by the
Canadian Hurricane Centre at: weather.gc.ca/hurricane/index_e.html

Statements on the post-tropical cyclone are also being issued by
the Canadian Hurricane Centre under WMO header WOCN31 CWHX and in
French at WOCN41 CWHX.  For marine interests, additional
information can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO
header FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  05/1500Z 45.0N  65.5W   50 KT  60 MPH
 12H  06/0000Z 47.0N  63.5W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  06/1200Z 49.0N  60.0W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  07/0000Z 52.0N  56.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  07/1200Z 56.0N  53.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  08/1200Z 60.5N  54.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 96H  09/1200Z 60.5N  52.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H  10/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown/Pasch



457 
WTNT31 KNHC 051457
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ARTHUR ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
1100 AM EDT SAT JUL 05 2014

...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN CANADA THROUGH TONIGHT...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON ARTHUR...
...CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE CONTINUES TO ISSUE STATEMENTS ON THIS
SYSTEM...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...45.0N 65.5W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM WNW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE

IN ADDITION...HIGH WIND WARNINGS...FOR WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...
ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE.

FOR FUTURE INFORMATION ON WARNINGS IN CANADA PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE AT...
WEATHER.GC.CA/HURRICANE/INDEX_E.HTML ...IN ALL LOWER CASE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.5 WEST.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH
...39 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WILL BE MOVING NEAR OR OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND
OVER THE GULF OF ST. LAWRENCE TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER. A WIND GUST TO 61 MPH...98 KM/H HAS RECENTLY BEEN
REPORTED AT YARMOUNTH NOVA SCOTIA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...GALE FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
CANADA. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER NOVA
SCOTIA...SOUTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK...AND PORTIONS OF NEWFOUNDLAND
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. IN ADDITION...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH
ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

STORM SURGE...COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN CANADA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS THROUGH
EARLY SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER FAR EASTERN MAINE...WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA...AND NEW
BRUNSWICK...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ARTHUR ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...
PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...INCLUDING
WARNINGS...CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT:
WEATHER.GC.CA/HURRICANE/INDEX_E.HTML ...IN ALL LOWER CASE.

STATEMENTS ON THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ARE ALSO BEING ISSUED BY
ENVIRONMENT CANADA UNDER WMO HEADER WOCN31 CWHX AND IN FRENCH AT
WOCN41 CWHX.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH


Last updated Wed Jul 23 08:16:04 2014