NAME

     trend1d - Fit a [weighted] [robust] polynomial [or  Fourier]
     model for y = f(x) to ascii xy[w] data.


SYNOPSIS

     trend1d -N[f]n_model[r] [ xy[w]file ] [ -F<xymrw> ] [ -Ccon-
     dition_# ] [ -H ] [ -I[confidence_level] ] [ -V ] [ -W ] [ -
     : ]


DESCRIPTION

     trend1d reads ascii x,y [and w] values from  the  first  two
     [three]  columns on standard input [or xy[w]file] and fits a
     regression model y = f(x) + e by [weighted]  least  squares.
     The  functional  form of f(x) may be chosen as polynomial or
     Fourier, and  the  fit  may  be  made  robust  by  iterative
     reweighting  of  the data.  The user may also search for the
     number of terms in f(x) which significantly reduce the vari-
     ance in y.


REQUIRED ARGUMENTS

     -N    Specify the number of terms  in  the  model,  n_model,
          whether  to fit a Fourier (-Nf) or polynomial [Default]
          model, and append r to do a robust fit.  E.g., a robust
          quadratic model is -N3r.


OPTIONS

     xy[w]file
          ASCII file containing x,y [w] values in the first 2 [3]
          columns.   If  no  file is specified, trend1d will read
          from standard input.

     -F    Specify up to five letters from the set {x y m r w} in
          any  order to create columns of ASCII output.  x = x, y
          = y, m = model f(x), r = residual y -  m,  w  =  weight
          used in fitting.

     -C    Set the  maximum  allowed  condition  number  for  the
          matrix  solution.   trend1d fits a damped least squares
          model, retaining only that part of the eigenvalue spec-
          trum  such  that the ratio of the largest eigenvalue to
          the smallest eigenvalue is condition_#. [Default:  con-
          dition_# = 1.0e06. ].

     -H    Input file(s) has Header record(s).  Number of  header
          records  can  be  changed  by editing your .gmtdefaults
          file.  If used, GMT default is 1 header record.

     -I    Iteratively increase the number of  model  parameters,
          starting at one, until n_model is reached or the reduc-
          tion in variance of the model is not significant at the
          confidence_level  level.   You may set -I only, without
          an attached number;  in  this  case  the  fit  will  be
          iterative  with a default confidence level of 0.51.  Or
          choose your own level between 0  and  1.   See  remarks
          section.

     -V    Selects verbose mode, which will send progress reports
          to stderr [Default runs "silently"].

     -W    Weights are supplied in input column 3.  Do a weighted
          least  squares  fit  [or  start with these weights when
          doing the iterative robust fit].  [Default  reads  only
          the first 2 columns.]

       -   :    Toggles    between    (longitude,latitude)    and
          (latitude,longitude)    input/output.     [Default   is
          (longitude,latitude)]


REMARKS

     If a Fourier model is selected, the  domain  of  x  will  be
     shifted and scaled to [-pi, pi] and the basis functions used
     will be 1, cos(x), sin(x),  cos(2x),  sin(2x),  ...    If  a
     polynomial  model  is  selected,  the  domain  of  x will be
     shifted and scaled to [-1, 1] and the basis  functions  will
     be  Chebyshev polynomials.  These have a numerical advantage
     in the form of the matrix which must be inverted  and  allow
     more  accurate solutions. The Chebyshev polynomial of degree
     n has n+1 extrema in [-1, 1], at all of which its  value  is
     either  -1 or +1.  Therefore the magnitude of the polynomial
     model coefficients can  be  directly  compared.   NOTE:  The
     model  coefficients  are Chebeshev coefficients, NOT coeffi-
     cients in a + bx + cxx + ...

     The -Nr (robust) and -I  (iterative)  options  evaluate  the
     significance  of the improvement in model misfit Chi-Squared
     by an F test.  The default confidence limit is set at  0.51;
     it  can  be  changed  with  the  -I option.  The user may be
     surprised to find that in most cases the reduction in  vari-
     ance  achieved  by increasing the number of terms in a model
     is not significant at a very high degree of confidence.  For
     example,  with  120  degrees  of  freedom,  Chi-Squared must
     decrease by 26% or more to be significant at the 95%  confi-
     dence  level.  If you want to keep iterating as long as Chi-
     Squared is decreasing, set confidence_level to zero.

     A low confidence limit (such as the default value  of  0.51)
     is  needed  to  make  the  robust  method work.  This method
     iteratively reweights the data to reduce  the  influence  of
     outliers.  The weight is based on the Median Absolute Devia-
     tion and a formula from Huber [1964], and is  95%  efficient
     when the model residuals have an outlier-free normal distri-
     bution.  This  means  that  the  influence  of  outliers  is
     reduced  only  slightly  at each iteration; consequently the
     reduction in Chi-Squared is not very  significant.   If  the
     procedure  needs  a few iterations to successfully attenuate
     their effect, the significance level of the F test  must  be
     kept low.


EXAMPLES

     To remove a linear trend  from  data.xy  by  ordinary  least
     squares, try:

     trend1d data.xy -Fxr -N2 > detrended_data.xy

     To make the  above  linear  trend  robust  with  respect  to
     outliers, try:

     trend1d data.xy -Fxr -N2r > detrended_data.xy

     To find out how many terms (up  to  20,  say)  in  a  robust
     Fourier interpolant are significant in fitting data.xy, try:

     trend1d data.xy -Nf20r -I -V


SEE ALSO

     gmt, grdtrend, trend2d


REFERENCES

     Wessel, P., and W. H. F. Smith, 1995,  The  Generic  Mapping
     Tools  (GMT)  version  3.0  Technical  Reference & Cookbook,
     SOEST/NOAA.
     Wessel, P., and W. H. F. Smith, 1995,  New  Version  of  the
     Generic Mapping Tools Released, EOS Trans. AGU, 76, p. 329.
     Wessel, P., and W. H. F. Smith, 1995,  New  Version  of  the
     Generic           Mapping           Tools          Released,
     http://www.agu.org/eos_elec/95154e.html, Copyright  1995  by
     the American Geophysical Union.
     Wessel, P., and W. H. F. Smith, 1991,  Free  Software  Helps
     Map and Display Data, EOS Trans. AGU, 72, p. 441.

     Huber, P. J., 1964, Robust estimation of a location  parame-
     ter, Ann. Math. Stat., 35, 73-101.

     Menke,  W.,  1989,  Geophysical  Data  Analysis:    Discrete
     Inverse Theory, Revised Edition, Academic Press, San Diego.